Carine Knapen
The government-driven website Our World in Data has a graph on its website regarding global mortality between 1950 and 2099.
Between 1950 and 2020, mortality has steadily increased from 51.34 million deaths per year to 58.39 million deaths per year, which is only logical given the fact that the world's population has risen sharply during this period. Actually, we can safely talk about a percentage reduction in mortality given that the increase in population is many times greater than the deaths. In 1950, there were barely 2 billion people on earth. If the count is correct, there are now 8 billion of us.
In 2020 ( first Covid year ), there were more deaths than the previous year. 59.23 million all-cause deaths compared to 58.39 million deaths in 2019. Difference 840,000. That is a whole lot less than the 5 million corona deaths we have been told ( without considering the deaths from all other conditions ).
What do we see for the future ? In the next 20 years, 20 to 23 million more people will die each year than before 2020. By 2040, 81.05 million people will die each year. By 2060, deaths will rise to 102 million people a year and by 2099, they will rise to 121.79 million people a year.
Between 2010 and 2019, the highest death rate was in Oceania, North and South America as well as Europe. The fewest deaths were in Africa and Asia where there are also simultaneous high births and strong population growth. How it is now is not yet known because not published on the site but it may not be different.
How should we interpret these figures ?
An analysis :
It is common knowledge that the West is struggling with a strongly ageing population. About a quarter of the population is over 65. They will leave for paradise between now and the next 20 years ( = +- 250 million people : 20 = 12.5 million per year on average ).
This concerns only the West which all in all has less than 1 billion people ( EU - US - Canada and Australia ). In all other continents, the average age is 25. " Average " means that half or more are under 25 and the other half are older. They will also exchange the temporary for the eternal in the next 70 years.
Population growth in the West has fallen sharply over the past 70 years. There are fewer births.
The strongest growth is in Africa ( +2% to +4% ). In Europe, there have been periods of negative growth ( up to -2% ) over the past 20 years. In recent years, population growth in the West has been barely ( between 0 and 1% ).
Logic dictates that if 25% of the Western population dies in the next 20 years due to old age or earlier, due to illness ( and this will happen ) , while there are very few births, the West will enter a negative spiral. Far fewer people.
Viruses and pandemics as well as the constant instilling of fear could well accelerate things firmly.
Not surprisingly, the immigration policy being rolled out is targeting mass immigration from other parts of the world to the West and many measures are being taken to erase the individuality of population groups.
All factors taken under consideration, it is possible that within 50 years or so, the European, as we know it, will no longer exist or only constitute a minority.
In the worst case scenario, Europe will be empty.
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